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Forward $\chi^2$ Divergence Based Variational Importance Sampling

Chengrui Li, Yule Wang, Weihan Li, Anqi Wu

probabilistic methodsImportance sampling$\chi^2$ divergencelatent variable models
62.50100
Fused
band ≈ ±15 pct pts (from σ = 0.31)
52.50100
Mimo
band ≈ ±21 pct pts (from σ = 0.43)
66.80100
DeepSeek
band ≈ ±22 pct pts (from σ = 0.44)

OpenReview ground truth

Accepted

Abstract

Maximizing the marginal log-likelihood is a crucial aspect of learning latent variable models, and variational inference (VI) stands as the commonly adopted method. However, VI can encounter challenges in achieving a high marginal log-likelihood when dealing with complicated posterior distributions. In response to this limitation, we introduce a novel variational importance sampling (VIS) approach that directly estimates and maximizes the marginal log-likelihood. VIS leverages the optimal proposal distribution, achieved by minimizing the forward $\chi^2$ divergence, to enhance marginal log-likelihood estimation. We apply VIS to various popular latent variable models, including mixture models, variational auto-encoders, and partially observable generalized linear models. Results demonstrate that our approach consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, in terms of both log-likelihood and model parameter estimation. Code: \url{https://github.com/JerrySoybean/vis}.

Author context

Most prolific author: 2 submissions (credibility 1.00).

No mass-submission penalty for this paper (authors within normal submission volume).

Aggregate statistics only — no individual author rankings.

Ranking trajectory

Percentile by tournament round — convergence indicates rating stability.

Judge assessments

Mean overall score 0.0 ± 0.0 (n = 32)