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Transport meets Variational Inference: Controlled Monte Carlo Diffusions

Francisco Vargas, Shreyas Padhy, Denis Blessing, Nikolas Nüsken

probabilistic methodsSDEsDiffusion ModelsOptimal TransportAnnealed Importance SamplingSchroedinger BridgesVariational Inference
95.50100
Fused
band ≈ ±16 pct pts (from σ = 0.31)
91.80100
Mimo
band ≈ ±22 pct pts (from σ = 0.43)
97.10100
DeepSeek
band ≈ ±22 pct pts (from σ = 0.44)

OpenReview ground truth

Accepted

TL;DR — Connecting optimal transport and variational inference, we develop a score-based annealing technique for Bayesian computation.

Abstract

Connecting optimal transport and variational inference, we present a principled and systematic framework for sampling and generative modelling centred around divergences on path space. Our work culminates in the development of the Controlled Monte Carlo Diffusion sampler (CMCD) for Bayesian computation, a score-based annealing technique that crucially adapts both forward and backward dynamics in a diffusion model. On the way, we clarify the relationship between the EM-algorithm and iterative proportional fitting (IPF) for Schroedinger bridges, deriving as well a regularised objective that bypasses the iterative bottleneck of standard IPF-updates. Finally, we show that CMCD has a strong foundation in the Jarzinsky and Crooks identities from statistical physics, and that it convincingly outperforms competing approaches across a wide array of experiments.

Author context

Most prolific author: 2 submissions (credibility 1.00).

No mass-submission penalty for this paper (authors within normal submission volume).

Aggregate statistics only — no individual author rankings.

Ranking trajectory

Percentile by tournament round — convergence indicates rating stability.

Battle history — 36 comparisons

Ranked above opponent in 62% of matchups.

Judge assessments

Mean overall score 0.0 ± 0.0 (n = 36)