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Density Ratio Estimation-based Bayesian Optimization with Semi-Supervised Learning

Jungtaek Kim

optimizationGlobal optimizationBayesian optimizationDensity ratio estimation-based Bayesian optimization
15.50100
Fused
band ≈ ±14 pct pts (from σ = 0.28)
13.30100
Mimo
band ≈ ±20 pct pts (from σ = 0.40)
20.90100
DeepSeek
band ≈ ±20 pct pts (from σ = 0.39)

OpenReview ground truth

Rejected

Abstract

Bayesian optimization has attracted huge attention from diverse research areas in science and engineering, since it is capable of finding a global optimum of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box function efficiently. In general, a probabilistic regression model, e.g., Gaussian processes and Bayesian neural networks, is widely used as a surrogate function to model an explicit distribution over function evaluations given an input to estimate and a training dataset. Beyond the probabilistic regression-based Bayesian optimization, density ratio estimation-based Bayesian optimization has been suggested in order to estimate a density ratio of the groups relatively close and relatively far to a global optimum. Developing this line of research further, a supervised classifier can be employed to estimate a class probability for the two groups instead of a density ratio. However, the supervised classifiers used in this strategy are prone to be overconfident for a global solution candidate. To solve this problem, we propose density ratio estimation-based Bayesian optimization with semi-supervised learning. Finally, we demonstrate the experimental results of our methods and several baseline methods in two distinct scenarios with unlabeled point sampling and a fixed-size pool.

Author context

Most prolific author: 2 submissions (credibility 1.00).

No mass-submission penalty for this paper (authors within normal submission volume).

Aggregate statistics only — no individual author rankings.

Ranking trajectory

Percentile by tournament round — convergence indicates rating stability.

Battle history — 38 comparisons

Ranked above opponent in 43% of matchups.

Judge assessments

Mean overall score 0.0 ± 0.0 (n = 38)