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RedMotion: Motion Prediction via Redundancy Reduction

Royden Wagner, Omer Sahin Tas, Marvin Klemp, Carlos Fernandez

robotics & planningMotion predictionself-supervised learningtrajectory forecastingself-driving
7.80100
Fused
band ≈ ±14 pct pts (from σ = 0.28)
6.90100
Mimo
band ≈ ±20 pct pts (from σ = 0.40)
10.20100
DeepSeek
band ≈ ±20 pct pts (from σ = 0.39)

OpenReview ground truth

Rejected

TL;DR — Transformer model for motion prediction in self-driving that incorporates two types of redundancy reduction

Abstract

Predicting the future motion of traffic agents is vital for self-driving vehicles to ensure their safe operation. We introduce RedMotion, a transformer model for motion prediction that incorporates two types of redundancy reduction. The first type of redundancy reduction is induced by an internal transformer decoder and reduces a variable-sized set of road environment tokens, such as road graphs with agent data, to a fixed-sized embedding. The second type of redundancy reduction is a self-supervised learning objective and applies the redundancy reduction principle to embeddings generated from augmented views of road environments. Our experiments reveal that our representation learning approach can outperform PreTraM, Traj-MAE, and GraphDINO in a semi-supervised setting. Our RedMotion model achieves results that are competitive with those of Scene Transformer or MTR++. We provide an anonymized open source implementation that is accessible via Colab: https://colab.research.google.com/drive/16pwsmOTYdPpbNWf2nm1olXcx1ZmsXHB8

Author context

Most prolific author: 1 submissions (credibility 1.00).

No mass-submission penalty for this paper (authors within normal submission volume).

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Ranking trajectory

Percentile by tournament round — convergence indicates rating stability.

Judge assessments

Mean overall score 0.0 ± 0.0 (n = 36)